I am happy for the movies and the nominees. This post is about my Oscar predictions with some comments. Tonight we will find out who are the winners this year. Incredibly, amazingly, there will be no big surprises, unless some backstage producer pulls a prank again. In the following movie list, there are only one or two I haven’t watched. I have considered the Best Picture nominations and the movies in which the Best Actor/Actress, Best Supporting Actor/Actress, Directing, Original/Adapted Screenplay have been nominated. Please don’t expect me to predict the Best Sound Effects or something else technical. It was a pleasure, anyway. Doesn’t matter who will win, this year maybe everybody will be at peace with the awards.
Gary Oldman in The Darkest Hour (2017)
[source for both pictures: imdb.com]
Here you have the list:
- Call Me by Your Name nominated for Best Picture, Best Actor (Timothée Chalamet), Adapted Screenplay (James Ivory);
- Darkest Hour nominated for Best Picture, Best Actor (Gary Oldman). Absolutely fantastic;
- Dunkirk nominated for Best Picture and Directing (Christopher Nolan). This is a spectacular movie, but it looks like a sequel for Darkest Hour;
- Get Out nominated for Best Picture, Best Actor (Daniel Kaluuya), Directing (Jordan Peele), Original Screenplay (Jordan Peele, again). Ladies and gentlemen, this movie can be a surprise, but I hope not;
- Lady Bird nominated for Best Picture, Best Actress (Saoirse Ronan), Supporting Actress (Laurie Metcalf), Directing and Original Screenplay (both, Greta Gerwig). I’ll review this one in the future;
- Phantom Thread nominated for Best Picture, Best Actor (Daniel Day-Lewis), Supporting Actress (Lesley Manville);
- The Post nominated for Best Picture, Best Actress (Meryl Streep). This is a movie directed by Steven Spielberg. A third name involved is Tom Hanks. This seems enough to get at least one nomination;
- The Shape of Water nominated for Best Picture, Best Actress (Sally Hawkins), Supporting Actor (Richard Jenkins), Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer), Directing (Guillermo Del Toro), Original Screenplay (Del Toro together with Vanessa Taylor);
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri nominated for Best Picture, Best Actress (Frances McDormand), twice for Supporting Actor (Woody Harrelson and Sam Rockwell) and Original Screenplay (Martin McDonagh);
- Roman J. Israel, Esq with a nomination for Best Actor (Denzel Washington). This was a brilliant performance.
- I, Tonya with two nominations: Best Actress (Margot Robbie) and Supporting Actress (Allyson Janney);
- The Florida Project has a nomination for Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe). I couldn’t watch until the end, it didn’t resonate with me;
- All the Money in the World, a movie re-shot by director Ridley Scott almost from the beginning just to make a point – meaning that with all his great talent, Kevin Spacey is abhorred by his peers and bosses – has only one nomination for Supporting Actor (Christopher Plummer), Spacey’s replacement.
- Mudbound, a movie I really enjoyed, comparably with Get Out, so to speak, has two nominations, Supporting Actress (Mary J. Blige) and Adapted Screenplay (Virgil Williams and Dee Rees). The novel they adapted it from, was written by Hillary Jordan;
- The Disaster Artist nominated for Adapted Screenplay (Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber). The book, written by Greg Sestero himself, helped by Tom Bissell is much realistic, but they adapted it in something utterly comic. I think the scarcity of nominations after he won the Golden Globe is mainly provoked by Franco’s appearance on Time Magazine’s sexual offenders’ list. The problem with that list is that whatever the culprits or their representatives are saying, they still make the list, guilty or not guilty…
- Logan for Adapted Screenplay (Scott Frank, James Mangold and Michael Green). I don’t know what this is doing between the nominees here. Same as with The Post, with its three power players, Walk the Line’s James Mangold is extremely influential.
- Molly’s Game is also nominated for Adapted Screenplay (Aaron Sorkin). This is a pity, the movie deserves much better. I hope I don’t say that only because I have a soft spot for Jessica Chastain’s acting, but it was the only movie where Idris Elba’s acting doesn’t annoy me as it usually does.
- The Big Sick is covering this year a larger area of correct distribution in award nominations. Besides the Afro Americans, this time a Pakistani born is included, gloriously ending the list. The nomination is for Original Screenplay (Emily V. Gordon with Kumail Nanjiani) which is based on real events lived by the couple. Nanjiani hosted SNL in this season and he was much better than a lot of subscribers there.
Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017)
And My Oscar Predictions Are:
- Best Picture: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri;
- Best Actor: Gary Oldman for his outstanding Winston Churchill portrait in Darkest Hour;
- Best Actress: Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri;
- Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell in the same Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri;
- Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney for playing Tonya Harding’s mother in I, Tonya;
- Directing: The Shape of Water – Guillermo Del Toro. A playwright’s son just filed a lawsuit alleging that The Shape of Water was based on his father’s 1969 play, “Let Me Hear You Whisper.”;
- Adapted Screenplay: The great favorite is Call Me by Your Name – James Ivory, but I haven’t read the novel yet. I read The Disaster Artist, and I have to say that the screenplay is more entertaining than the novel;
- Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri – Martin McDonagh. Some critics consider it too controversial, and because of the lack of “non-white characters” and its questionable ending, maybe it will prove as a disappointment. If one can’t see this movie as enlightening, I feel sorry for him/her.
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